21th Prediction Science Seminar
- Date
- January 25th, 2024 (Thu.) 13:00-14:30 (JST)
- Language
- Engish
- Place
- C107(R-CCS)
To join the seminar, please contact the Prediction Science Seminar Office: prediction-seminar[remove here]@ml.riken.jp
Program
Time | Content | Speaker |
---|---|---|
13:00-14:00 | Development of a downscaling method for climate model simulation and application to impact assessment and adaptation using a land model | Assoc.Prof. Takao YOSHIKANE (University of Tokyo) |
14:00-14:30 | Discussion | - |
Abstract
Water-related disasters are often caused by the influence of local characteristics such as topography. Therefore, downscaling is necessary to estimate water-related disaster risk. However, high-resolution dynamic downscaling requires a huge amount of computation, while statistical downscaling is difficult to reflect local effects. Here, a downscaling method that can reflect local effects is developed and apply the products to an integrated land simulator (ILS) to improve the accuracy of regional water-related disaster risk assessment during climate change. Using this method, we estimated the spatial distribution characteristics of precipitation, temperature, surface wind, surface pressure, relative humidity, downward short- and long-wave radiation, and cloud cover, which are required as external forces for the ILS, and succeeded in reproducing changes in river discharge corresponding to heavy rain associated with meso-scale disturbances using ILS. In the future, we will conduct estimation using multiple models and multiple scenarios of climate model simulation to assess the risk of water-related disasters due to climate change.
Organizer
- Prediction Science Laboratory (RIKEN CPR)
- RIKEN Center for Biosystems Dynamics Research (BDR)
Co-organizer
- Data Assimilation Research Team (R-CCS)
- RIKEN Interdisciplinary Theoretical and Mathematical Sciences Program
- Environmental Metabolic Analysis Research Team (RIKEN CSRS)
- Computational Climate Science Research Team (R-CCS)
- Medical Data Deep Learning Team (R-IH)
- Medical Data Mathematical Reasoning Team (R-IH)
- Laboratory for Physical Biology (RIKEN BDR)