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Event Information

21th Prediction Science Seminar

Date
January 25th, 2024 (Thu.) 13:00-14:30 (JST)
Language
Engish
Place
C107(R-CCS)

To join the seminar, please contact the Prediction Science Seminar Office: prediction-seminar[remove here]@ml.riken.jp

Program

Time Content Speaker
13:00-14:00 Development of a downscaling method for climate model simulation and application to impact assessment and adaptation using a land model Assoc.Prof. Takao YOSHIKANE (University of Tokyo)
14:00-14:30 Discussion -

Abstract

Water-related disasters are often caused by the influence of local characteristics such as topography. Therefore, downscaling is necessary to estimate water-related disaster risk. However, high-resolution dynamic downscaling requires a huge amount of computation, while statistical downscaling is difficult to reflect local effects. Here, a downscaling method that can reflect local effects is developed and apply the products to an integrated land simulator (ILS) to improve the accuracy of regional water-related disaster risk assessment during climate change. Using this method, we estimated the spatial distribution characteristics of precipitation, temperature, surface wind, surface pressure, relative humidity, downward short- and long-wave radiation, and cloud cover, which are required as external forces for the ILS, and succeeded in reproducing changes in river discharge corresponding to heavy rain associated with meso-scale disturbances using ILS. In the future, we will conduct estimation using multiple models and multiple scenarios of climate model simulation to assess the risk of water-related disasters due to climate change.

Organizer

  • Prediction Science Laboratory (RIKEN CPR)
  • RIKEN Center for Biosystems Dynamics Research (BDR)

Co-organizer

  • Data Assimilation Research Team (R-CCS)
  • RIKEN Interdisciplinary Theoretical and Mathematical Sciences Program
  • Environmental Metabolic Analysis Research Team (RIKEN CSRS)
  • Computational Climate Science Research Team (R-CCS)
  • Medical Data Deep Learning Team (R-IH)
  • Medical Data Mathematical Reasoning Team (R-IH)
  • Laboratory for Physical Biology (RIKEN BDR)

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